links for 2008-05-10
Posted on May 10, 2008
Tags: Uncategorized |
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Some people are just not cut out for it and the sooner they move on the better.
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funny.. Unlike BSC, YHOO isn’t a member of the gang.
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Nice comparison, but if you see a real sniper in action you’ll notice there’s hardly any aggression, including during action time. More like a little ‘click’ and ‘pop’ in a video game.
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Presidential candidates are supposed to believe in something consistently, apparently.
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via maoxian
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people’s happiness goes into steep decline after they have children, and never recovers its old level until the children leave home. As a source of pleasure, playing with one’s offspring rates just above doing housework.. YIKES.. via humblemoney.
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19 Responses to “links for 2008-05-10”
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I'm a stocks day trader trading for a living in Thailand (Bangkok). This blog serves as an outlet for myself to record my trades, musings and ramblings.
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HPT blog is now “invited only”. that pisses me off a bit - he should have posted an explanation.
btw, do u know how can i get access to estocastica’s blog?
A - I didn’t realize HPT changed it to invite only. In any case the main value for me out of that blog was just entertainment, so if it isn’t there then so be it.
I don’t have access to esto’s blog, wasn’t invited. A pity, his blog was more educational. You can try to email him.
The blog is back now - newest post is “fuck quiting”.
It finally struck me: this poor guy has some serious issues and he probably shouldn’t trade until he gets his shit together. This is not funny.
*do u have esto’s email?
HPT has more issues than National Geographic. I suspected as much after the first YouTube blowup, and the fake YT blowup that followed just confirmed it. This latest bit was to be expected. Next, expect him to re-launch the blog with a diatribe against all the “haters” and a renewed commitment to following his system. Probably by the end of May …
If you believe that the amount of “alpha” in the world is limited, then HPT’s moving on will doubtless make the few really good futures daytraders very slightly less profitable, because one source of “alpha” - HPT’s trading mistakes - is gone.
I wanted to chat about the “happiness = no kids” article. It’s a dirty little secret, but most of the marriages that hit the skids do so after the kids, because it changes the dynamic of the relationship so dramatically.
The other dirty little secret of kids is that most - and I don’t mean a piddly little 51% most, but more likely a 97%+ most - of the kids born in the developed world are “mistakes.” It’s extremely rare for a couple to actually decide they want a child and then have one; usually it’s just nature taking its course - and that might have some explanatory power for the reason why the work of raising kids is viewed so negatively by parents.
Disclaimers:
My worst MONTH was about -9% so I’ve never “blown up” …
No human kids, there’s surgery to prevent that, but we have lots of furry babies …
A - he’s still young I think, attitudes change as you age, at least for some people :-) what’s your email address?
Bill - lol, maybe someone should compile a list called foundalpha.com ;-)
I had no idea there was such a phenomenon - marriage problems after children are born. Run a search and there seem to be quite a few hits, certainly something to watch out for.
Do you have a source for the ‘mistakes’ stat? I would have guessed the opposite due to education, use of better contraceptives etc.
What furry creatures accompany you?
Btw, I can’t reach your blog, seems like my ISP/IP is blocked, at least based on checking it with this: http://downforeveryoneorjustme.com/
I don’t have a source for the stat, but I suspect any self-reported stat on “did you want to have your kids?” would get a lot of people LYING about it, “Yes, I wanted them.” From observing the culture, very few people plan their lives in any detail, outside of perhaps career path, and that includes their relationships and parenting.
Improvements in education and contraception just mean that the same lifestyle choices result in lower fertility rates among those who don’t actively plan to have kids, but those actively planning are still the minority, and they typically have fewer kids. Think about the unplanned parents as having 1-2 kids per couple instead of 6-7.
It’s a lot of *work* to be married, non-surgically altered, and avoid having kids through contraception. Usually it’s just logistics and carefulness, but it slips through the cracks (pun intended) if you’re not careful. Something as simple as oral antibiotics can dampen the effectiveness of birth control pills, boom! She’s preggers. Or she “forgets” the pill without an agreement to have kids, thinking that the kid might “improve” the marriage. There is still a residual stigma against abortion as well, especially for those who are married, healthy, and in their youth. So those things might tip the balance towards planned children (and by PLANNED, I mean y’all discuss and agree it’s a good idea and take active steps and budget for the event) being a higher percentage than 25-50-100 years ago, but still the extreme minority of events.
So they’re pregnant by accident and put a happy face on, and then the reality of it hits, their childless friends part ways with them, their vacation plans get more logistically complicated, they get locked into jobs because they can’t afford the options they could when young, the kids figure into where they move and what jobs they take, and the unhappiness sets in.
You’d also be surprised how many men in America are (often unknowingly) raising some other guy’s kid. See dadsdivorce dot com and read in the forums.
My wife and I have rescued several dogs and cats over the years. Some have been just adopting free to good home, some have been rescues that the vet or a friend made and we adopted, and five have been ones we found and rescued ourselves. We especially seem to attract cats. We currently have two large old dogs and five cats from 2 to 12 years old.
About the site – I don’t block any IP or ISP, so it’s probably your provider, and it’s probably due to my occasional bad language or political content.
HPT does not have “serious issues” nor is he good “alpha” for other futures traders.
He has been consistently beating those other futures traders, on a daily basis for “years”.
He has “ONE” serious flaw, of consistently taking small profits for long stretches, then not being able to take a loss and blowing up. IMO all it is is the reinforcement of a bad habit, having traded losses back to profits by taking alot of heat on a number of occasions. Like the recent oil trade he almost blew up on. That’s it though the only issue, he shouldn’t quit trading because of one problem, he needs to resolve it. He clearly has alot of skill beating the market as consistently as he does.
As for the “tantrums”, everyone has a different way of dealing with being angry at them selves for making a mistake. His way is to punch himself in the head (I’ve done that and don’t believe I have issues). When something like this happens you don’t think rationally you just react.
I suppose it does take a certain kind of skill to make dollars consistently, day after day for months, and then suddenly pi55 it all away in one glorious clusterf#ck blowup trade after another.
Unskilled losers just lose a little bit at a time.
Bill lol, quite a way of putting things.
Nevertheless I stand by what I said, It may be a big problem but is only one problem and agreed he does need to own up to it. If you take out the blowups he does have skill and consistency.
That reminds me …
Other than that, how was Dallas, Mrs. Kennedy?
Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Lincoln?
LOL good stuff Bill.
I can’t say I disagree with what you wrote about the marriage, it either made sense or I’m simply not aware of anything that contradicts it. I’m at the very very early stages of that part of my life.
Must be my ISP then, good thing you’ve got the RSS feed on.
Was I right, or was I right?
“Next, expect him to re-launch the blog with a diatribe against all the “haters” and a renewed commitment to following his system. Probably by the end of May …”
bill: you’re forgetting about the high percentage of girls/women who want to have babies to trap a man, or because they think its a doll…at least they have a plan
i’m not a psychiatrist (and i have issues for sure), but anyone who punches “themselves” in the head, definitely has issues…when you’re mad, punch someone else in the head like most sane people!
In those cases, the couple didn’t decide, and the girl claims it’s an accident.
See my comment on May 12 @ 10:59 am, that pregnancy trap is often some other guy’s kid, but they blame it on the sappy sob they think will provide for it/them.
You’d enjoy the dadsdivorce.com site.
bill: lol
HPT is back I notice.
On the other matter I would be surprised if the case of the mistaken dad was that high at all, anyway would be interested in seeing any stats.
As to having children, it’s kind of a difficult thing to do direct comparisons on, looking after relations kids might not be the same thing. If you had to weight the decision through analysis you would need some pretty hefty skills, as it is I think it’s almost always our instinctive drive backed up by as good a rationalization as we can invent (either way).
andrew: i don’t have any stats, but check this out
http://youtube.com/watch?v=XTD7FmMiy7o&feature=related
John you’re mistaken it’s actually very therapeutic. One it rattles you to get you off tilt and two you can’t help but be amused at the fact that you just punched yourself in the head. Don’t knock it till you’ve tried it.
jack: LOL!
i’m obviously not as tough as u guys